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Historic recurrence

Dr. Andrew Joseph Pegoda

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In Rome's decay, Zosimus saw history repeating itself in its general movements. The ancients developed an enduring metaphor for a polity 's evolution: In the same manner, having been reduced by disorder and sunk to their utmost state of depression, unable to descend lower, they, of necessity, reascend, and thus from good they gradually decline to evil and from evil mount up to good.

Machiavelli, as had the ancient Greek historian Thucydides , saw human nature as remarkably stable—steady enough for the formulation of rules of political behavior.

Machiavelli wrote in his Discorsi:. Whoever considers the past and the present will readily observe that all cities and all peoples The Spanish-American philosopher George Santayana observed that "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. He forgot to add: Conversely, according to Canadian translator and writer Paul Wilson , the Polish public intellectual and former influential dissident Adam Michnik holds a "core The world is full of inquisitors and heretics , liars and those lied to, terrorists and the terrorized.

There is still someone dying at Thermopylae , someone drinking a glass of hemlock , someone crossing the Rubicon , someone drawing up a proscription list. One of the paradigms of recurrence thinking identified by G. Trompf involves "the isolation of any two specific events which bear a very striking similarity ".

In his book, Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age , Joshua S Goldstein suggests that empires, analogously to an individual's midlife crisis , experience a political midlife crisis.

After a period of expansion in which all earlier goals are realised, overconfidence sets in. Regimes are then likely to attack or threaten their nearest rival. Goldstein cites four examples: Similarly, Gideon Rachman in , Roland Benedikter in , and Natalie Nougayrede in , have all suggested that the European Union is suffering a midlife crisis.

The template for this behaviour was first explained by the Islamic scholar Ibn Khaldun in his Muqadimmah In The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Rhythm of History , David Hackett Fischer identified four waves, each of about years' duration, in European history.

Each wave begins with prosperity, leading to inflation, inequality, rebellion and war, and resolving in a long spell of equilibrium. For example, 18th-century inflation led to the Napoleonic wars and later the Victorian equilibrium. Sir Arthur Keith 's theory of the amity-enmity complex suggests that human conscience evolved as a duality; we are driven to protect members of our in-group , but also to hate and fight enemies who belong to an out-group.

Thus an endless but useless cycle of ad hoc "isms" arises. We must learn to understand this phenomenon as being species-wide. British novelist Martin Amis observes that recurring patterns of imperial ascendance-and-decline simultaneously are mirrored in, and inform, the novel:. In the 19th century, when England ruled the earth, the novels were huge and all-embracing and tried to express what the whole society was. The British had gradually accepted the decline and dissolution of their empire.

It was saying, "You haven't got an empire anymore, but you shouldn't have had an empire in the first place. We don't like empires. There's no great fury about decline in England. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. This article has multiple issues. Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page. Learn how and when to remove these template messages.

This article is written like a research paper or scientific journal that may use overly technical terms or may not be written like an encyclopedic article. Please help improve it by rewriting it in an encyclopedic style. This article includes a list of references , but its sources remain unclear because it has insufficient inline citations.

Please help to improve this article by introducing more precise citations. August Learn how and when to remove this template message. According to the news and Joe public, crime, poverty, you name it, are worse now than it ever has been. If we look at historical evidence, we can find that such fears are unnecessary. Likewise, every generation says the previous generation had it better or older adults long for the time when they were adolescents when the world was a better, safer place I call this the Myth of the Utopia Past.

Finally, although human events can never come close to any kind of true replication, History belongs to both the liberal arts and the sciences.

That History is a liberal art needs no explanation. That History is also a science , however, is where I tend to meet objections. Scientists follow the scientific method.

They follow a series of steps to ensure their work is the best it can be given current resources. Historians come up with questions, look for evidence, analyze evidence, weave in secondary material, write and edit, edit some more, and then go through peer-reviewers both informally and formally. Historical narratives or theories about the past are no more or less theories or narratives as human evolution or the big bang, for example.

All scholarship involves theory and explanation based on evidence. In other words, History and any of the specific branches of science are all social constructions- both the discipline themselves and scholarship produced.

By promoting the study of the past as a science, perhaps historians would have more automatic credibility. Be sure to check out: Thanks, as always, for reading. Not until did the immigration laws apply to the western hemisphere; at that point people started to become concerned about the undocumented immigrants crossing the border meanwhile, people who were trying to come through legal channels were forced to wait.

From the beginning of immigration restriction, one of the concerns was some immigrants would become a burden on society especially those who had mental and physical illnesses. Like Liked by 1 person. Art History uses art to create social constructions as well.

Kenneth Clark and his series Civilization is a good example. There has always been a hierarchical structure in any civilization, at any time or place. Maybe that is the constant factor that ensures repetition. I enjoyed this piece when it was first published have read it several times since then. Though for sure, people too readily make dangerous historical comparisons. They get really frustrated when the doctor now says eating fat is ok, just avoid the trans fats.

Most studies are based upon step 1 of the scientific method, collecting observations. The rest of the method forming a testable hypotheses… randomized controls… testing of effects…. Medical researchers do not like offering a cautious conclusion like Factors A and B and linked. The only generalization we can make about science is that our interpretations will change over time.

Pegoda, that is why meta-analyses and reviews are done in a half-hearted attempt at perspective. But longitudinal studies are usually observational. Rarely do they include keeping those in the experimental group on a regimen for more than a few months because people will drop out of the experiment unless they truly see immediate and longterm benefits like pay, free medical care, etc. So the mechanics of a longterm study with adherence to true scientific method are tricky, at least for human subjects, and expensive for any experimental animal.

That is why some statisticians have devised studies that play with data from observational studies to make them look a lot like data from experimental studies. Real experimental science means setting up those controls before the experiment a priori.

So the only longterm perspective that really is shaped is when someone reviews experimental studies.

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The real question of the matter is, Does history repeat itself? History has repeated itself over and over again. An example of this would be the genocide that occurred in the Ottoman empire in , nearly 88 years later another .

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Write an essay (5 paragraph essay) Yes, I agree with Hamilton’s theory that history does repeat itself; and indeed it is the testimony to the stupidity of men. Take Mali’s case for example - Two civil wars over years apart, but both have managed to spilt the country in two - North and South.

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To analyze this statement we have to know exactly what is meant by the phrase "History always repeats itself". History is the written records of the past, but there can be more than one version of the event.3/5(5). History only repeats itself when we don't learn from the mistakes of others. Regardless of what many people may think, history does indeed repeat itself. In the s, a cruel man who goes by the name of Adolf Hitler rounded up Jews and gassed them, which is known as the biggest genocide of all time/5(1).

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Does history repeat itself essay - authentic papers at affordable prices available here will turn your studying into pleasure find key recommendations as to how to receive the greatest essay ever Quality and affordable paper to ease your life. History Repeats Itself. History Repeats Itself.: History is the record of events that happened in the past. Every country or nation has .